Monday, March 14, 2011

The Abundance Engineer March 2011 - Real Assets











Real Assets
While it's no secret that I am bullish on Gold & Silver I believe there are many other real assets which will make investors extremely wealthy in the coming years. 

The Commodity bull market and the worldwide rush for natural resources and real tangible assets creates a multitude of opportunity right now. 

I have promoted agricultural investments in the past and continue to do so. However, one investment I haven't mentioned and am very keen on is Forestry. 

2011 is the International Year Of Forests. 

The livelihoods of 1.6 billion people depends on forests. 

Trade in forestry products was estimated at $327 billion in 2004. 

Forests are home to 300 Million people around the world. 30% of forests are used for production of wood and non wood products. 

Forests cover 31% of total global land area. 

Forestry in Europe is now reaching an average of €65/m3

Imports are increasing. 
Of course with the impact of the credit crunch and the slowdown in demand. Forestry across Europe has been heavily oversold. 

Within the seed of every crisis lays an opportunity and right now I believe is the best time to acquire forestry as a buy and hold investment. We have seen the huge boom in Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Lithium, Cotton, Wheat, Corn, Soybeans, Sugar, Oil and numerous other commodities. Lumber is primed for a big move to the upside. 

Among the firesale of Irish State Assets is Coillte the highly profitable Irish State Forestry company. It is widely rumoured that the International Forestry Fund is out to acquire it. The Chairman of the fund; Bertie Ahern has been negotiating with China Investment Corporation. 

Over the past number of years the Chinese have been acquiring mines in Australia, Canada and Africa. In the Philippines they own virtually all the mills.

While I do not see great value in Irish Forestry unless you have 1.2bn to spend an opportunity to acquire mature forestry has presented itself in Bulgaria. 

I traveled there recently to evaluate a Forestry Investment. I met with Government officials and I am happy to say the investment looks very attractive. 

We are looking for one investor with €100,000 or a group of Investors with a minimum of €10,000 each to purchase a 64 hectare forest in Troyan, Bulgaria. The forest has 60% mature beach and oak (130 years old). Our report shows there is 7000m3 of matured wood. I spoke with the State Forestry Agency and a licence to cut will be provided if required. 

If you do your maths based on an average price of €65/m3 then the value of the wood alone in the forest is worth €455,000. 

The forest is already in a private company and the purchase price is €100,000. That's €650 an acre. There are many options available with this investment. It would be a perfect investment to sell on to a Forestry fund a growing number of which are being set up right now. 

Contact me for more information. 

Silver 
Silver is up again this morning on Japan and the Middle East.     

Ways to Invest In Silver    
You can buy Physical Metals. Call us  
Subscribe to a coin buying program.  
Open an online brokerage account.   
Open a spread betting account 


Happy investing,

Robert McManus
The Abundance Engineer
Email: rob@theabundanceengineer.com
Web: www.theabundanceengineer.com

Friday, March 11, 2011

The Abundance Engineer March 2011 - The Investment Of The Decade












Investment Of The Decade

Will Silver be the Investment of the Decade ? It's a contrary investment to the U.S. dollar. The events we are seeing in Libya and the Middle East should be good news for the dollar yet the dollar is still declining.   

When something declines on good news then it is normally time to sell and buy a contrary investment. Silver and Gold are the ultimate contrary investment to the dollar.   

You could short the dollar but that's a difficult investment for many. Buying Silver or Gold is far easier.

Silver is currently trading at $34.89 down 3.8% today. It could correct to previous resistance at $30/oz but physical demand, backwardation and a short squeeze suggest that $40/oz is possible before the end of the month. 

The downgrade of Spain and worries about other periphery eurozone states is leading to euro weakness and euro gold consolidating above EUR 1,000 per ounce. 
Fundamentals are screaming out that the price of Silver has to go higher.

The U.S. Mint in February sold as many dollars of Silver as they did dollars of Gold. Wow !! 

"We currently sell 5 times more Silver Eagles than Gold Eagles" - Eric Sprott, Sprott Money

The Chinese used to export 100 million ounces of Silver a year now they import 112 million ounces Silver a year. In a market of 812 million ounces that's a 20% increase in demand.

The historical ratio of Silver to Gold is 16 to 1. The current ratio
is 40 to 1.

Backwardation currently implies a silver shortage.

Bloomberg) -- Silver May Rise to $40 in March on Tight Supply: Chart of Day
Silver may extend its gains to a 31-year high this year and be at $40 an ounce by the end of the month as supplies tighten and demand for the metal used more in industry than gold increases, said brokerage GoldCore Ltd.

The CHART OF THE DAY shows silver rallied more than fourfold since 2008 as gold more than doubled. Silver last month moved into backwardation on the Comex in New York, where nearer- dated contracts trade at a premium to those for later delivery, a sign of tighter supply now, GoldCore said.

"There's a lot of demand coming from Asia and China particularly" for industrial usage and as an inflation hedge, said Mark O'Byrne, executive director of GoldCore in Dublin. "There's tightness in the marketplace."

Silver and gold have advanced as concern inflation will accelerate and unrest in North Africa and the Middle East boosted demand for alternative assets to stocks and bonds. One- ounce silver coin sales from the U.S. Mint jumped to a record in January, and an ounce of gold bought as little as 39.3 ounces of silver on March 7, the least since February 1998. While gold climbed to a record this month, silver is below the $50.35 all- time high reached in New York in 1980.

Silver held in exchange-traded products backed by the metal gained 3.7 percent in the past month, data compiled by Bloomberg from four providers show. The metal, used in industrial applications such as solar panels and plasma screens, traded at $35.8675 an ounce at 5:15 p.m. in London yesterday.

"If the economy recovers, that's very good for silver because there will be huge industrial demand," O'Byrne said. "If the economy is doing badly then people will buy silver as a store of value."

Ways to Invest In Silver    
You can buy Physical Metals. Call us  
Subscribe to a coin buying program.
Open an online brokerage account.  
Open a spread betting account

Tonight Thursday 10th March:  

Free Introduction To Spread Betting 7-9pm:MarketSpreads, 77 Sir John Rogerson's Quay, Dublin 2

     
Stock Markets
The QQQQ and the S&P are testing support. The tech companies all came in with worse than expected results this week. Could this be the fall we've all been expecting or will we get one last rally. 


Ways to Invest In Silver    
You can buy Physical Metals. Call us  
Subscribe to a coin buying program. 
Open an online brokerage account.    
Open a spread betting account.

Tonight Thursday 10th March:  

Free Introduction To Spread Betting 7-9pm:MarketSpreads, 77 Sir John Rogerson's Quay, Dublin 2


Call or email to book your place.  


Happy investing,

Robert McManus
The Abundance Engineer
Email: rob@theabundanceengineer.com
Web: www.theabundanceengineer.com

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

The Abundance Engineer March 2011 - Physical Silver In Backwardation















Silver in Backwardation  

It seems things only get better for Silver Investors. The Physical demand from China and the rest of Asia created by their rush to own real assets has created backwardation in the Silver markets. This is something normally only reserved for oil markets. Backwardation occurs when the Physical price for delivery today is higher than the Physical price for future delivery. Normally there are interest rates associated with holding a long position. These interest rates are still there. However, the demand for Physical Silver supercedes these premiums.   

The premiums for Jan 2012 call options on the SLV ETF are at 10%. The premium on natural gas 2012 call options which is in plentlful supply is 0.  

I am buying Silver. I have been buying Silver for over a year. I encourage you to buy Silver whatever way you can. If you think there will be more mobile phones. If you think there will be more solar panels, electronics, computers, cameras. If you think the Fed will continue to print money. If you think the banks will continue to gamble. Not one banker has gone to jail as a result of their gambling. In the US or Europe not a single one. There is no incentive to change. The western banks are still gambling with their clients money until someone is charged this will continue.  

One man went to Jail in the US. Bernie Madoff. The only thing that Bernie Madoff did differently to the bankers is he stole money from the rich.   

It is said that only 1% of people will ever own Silver or Gold.  

Most will continue to be sucked into the Fiat money system that is designed to devalue your money day by day. At the current rate of money expansion you would need a minimum of 10% return on deposit to meet inflation.   

I cannot fault the banks they are smart they have designed a system in conjunction with their politicians to steal as much money as they can and the general public buy into it.  

The blessing that the poor people in India have is that they cannot open a bank account therefore all they can do is buy gold and silver with their money. The greatest transfer of wealth in history is well underway.  

Watch the future as more and more wealth transfers to Asia.   

"Gold is the money of kings; Silver is the money of Gentlemen; barter is the money of peasants; but debt is the money of slaves."  
- Norm Franz 

The general public will continue to take on more debt and the wise and the rich will continue to own real assets.  

Everyone I know in India, Thailand, China & Singapore owns Gold or Silver. Even my clients in the US and Germany all are buying Gold & Silver.  

Ways to Invest In Silver    
You can buy Physical Metals. Call us  
Subscribe to a coin buying program. Silver Snowball  
Open an online brokerage account.   
Open a spread betting account with Market Spreads 

Market Spreads are running a free introduction to spread betting for subscribers to this newsletter this Thursday from 7-9pm at their offices on Sir John Rogersons Quay. Map   

John McGlade will teach you the secret to spread betting. 

An interesting view on the Middle East from Jim Sinclair :  

"The developments in the Middle East are not a spontaneous outbreak of democracy. They are carefully planned, organized and misunderstood developments focused on crippling those that oppose Iran.

The mercenaries that found their way to Libya should raise an eyebrow in the Situation Room. It is planned to initiate a spontaneous breakdown of Western civilization and financial viability based on the concept of peak oil. This concept alone guarantees a much longer gold bull market than almost anyone believes.

There is no 1980 pratfall out there. Gold will stabilize in about 4 years at a very high price. This is a concept that has totally escaped the gold miners that went functionally broke on hedges by selling every ounce they mined, as fast as they mined it. That was madness, almost as crazy as their short of gold was.

It is hard for a mad short taking it as a personal matter to reverse, and then go long, but fortunes are made that way in a bull market based on fundamentals. It takes emotional control and freedom from ego which is a rare combination.

You might consider it."   

News: 
Saudi Arabia drafts another 10,000 troops ahead of protests  
Desperate to avoid mass uprisings against the House of Saud, security forces have deployed in huge numbers across the region.
King Abdullah is also reported to have told neighbouring Bahrain that if they do not put down their own ongoing Shia revolt, his own forces will.
In response to the massive mobilisation, protesters are planning to place women on the front ranks to discourage Saudi forces from firing on them.
In Yemen, President Ali Abdullah Saleh set off a deadly battle for survival last night as he rejected an opposition peace proposal and ordered troops to fire on demonstrators, killing four. Efforts to suppress demonstrations by the key ally in the "war on terror" could jeopardise rising volumes of Western aid flooding into the country, diplomats warned.
President Saleh rejected an opposition proposal that would have brought demonstrations to a standstill in return for a promise to step down by the end of the year. Yemeni troops used rockets and machineguns to attack demonstrators in the north of the country, killing four and injuring nine.


Inflation, Oil, Gold, Ignorance, and The Media
We hear many so-called pundits say that rising oil prices will dramatically damage growth in the emerging world.  However, we see the contrary as more likely to occur: rising oil prices will unleash more inflation in the emerging world, which may actually accelerate economic activity.  We already are seeing substantial inflation in the emerging world.  It will be exacerbated by oil price increases.
Assuming that oil does not go crazy and rocket up past $150 per barrel in 2011, we maintain that higher oil prices don't have to derail economic growth in the emerging world.  Many emerging countries export more oil than they import, and others often produce exportable commodities which tend to rise in price along with oil, such as foodstuffs, base metals and precious metals. - Monty Guild.  

Agriculture
Many of the agricultural commodities have returned huge gains in the past 12 months. There are some commodities that are still to move. The way the commodity markets work is like a domino effect. Rises in grain prices will cause follow on increases in other commodities. Grain is used to feed cattle. Corn is used to feed pigs. As feed costs go up so do the costs of the cattle and pigs.  

As a result I am very bullish on certain select commodities outside of the traditional grains such as corn and soybeans.  

Pensions  
While I prefer the high yielding investments such as Gold & Silver and agriculture. I realize that many people want the security of Government backed funds. Therefore we have selected a number of funds that we see outperforming the market in the coming years.  

Contact us for more information.  

Free Seminar:

Market Spreads are running a free introduction to spread betting for subscribers to this newsletter this Thursday from 7-9pm at their offices on Sir John Rogersons Quay.

MarketSpreads Ltd, 77 Sir John Rogerson's Quay, Dublin 2


Email me if you need more info.

Marc Faber sent me this I thought I would pass it on.  

At the end of the tax year, the IRS office sent an inspector to audit the books of a local hospital. While the IRS agent was checking the books he turned to the CFO of the hospital and said, "I notice you buy a lot of bandages. What do you do with the end of the roll when there's too little left to be of any use?"

"Good question," noted the CFO. "We save them up and send them back to the bandage company and every now and then they send us a free box of bandages."  

"Oh," replied the auditor, somewhat disappointed that his unusual question had a practical answer. But on he went, in his obnoxious way. "What about all these plaster purchases? What do you do with what's left over after setting a cast on a patient?"  

"Ah, yes," replied the CFO, realizing that the inspector was trying to trap him with an unanswerable question. "We save it and send it back to the manufacturer, and every now and then they send us a free package of plaster."  

"I see," replied the auditor, thinking hard about how he could fluster the know-it-all CFO. "Well," he went on, "What do you do with all the leftover foreskins from the circumcisions you perform?"  

"Here, too, we do not waste," answered the CFO. "What we do is save all the little foreskins and send them to the IRS Office, and about once a year they send us a complete dick." 
   
Happy investing,

Robert McManus
The Abundance Engineer
Email: rob@theabundanceengineer.com
Web: www.theabundanceengineer.com

Saturday, March 5, 2011

The Abundance Engineer March 2011 - Gold, Silver & Oil


Dear Investors, 

Silver & Gold  
Silver reached a record 30 year high last week amid rising tension in the Middle East. Gold reached an all time high of $1433 as the paper price caught up with physical demand in Asia. Both metals have fallen off slightly in the last few days and it may be a good time to accumulate.  


The month of February saw record insider selling in the U.S. stock markets. Insiders sold a total of $5.4 billion and bought $128 million of stock in the month, a 41.6x ratio. Full Story...  

   
"If the world gets better you're gonna make a lot of money in commodities. If the world economy doesn't get better you should own commodities because then Governments are going to print more money." - Jim Rogers  
  
One of the most important criteria I use for stock selection is Insider Trading.

Tony Hayward CEO of BP cashed in about a third of his holding in BP one month before a well on the Deepwater Horizon rig burst, causing an environmental disaster. Goldman Sachs liquidated their shares in BP at the same time. Coincidence. Yeah right. 

The money that Bernake is printing is going straight into the stock market and the Insiders are selling. We are midway through a commodity bull cycle why would anyone invest in stocks.   

The Chinese appetite is voracious. Overnight, UBS confirmed in a Bloomberg article that China alone imported a massive 200 metric tonnes of gold in just the first two months of 2011. This gold is being bought by China's 1.3 billion people in order to protect against surging inflation.   
  
The FT last week quoted a senior executive of the world's largest bank by market capitalisation Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (ICBC) about the "voracious" appetite for gold in China. ICBC bank has in some two months opened gold savings accounts for more than 1 million savers with more than 12 tons of gold stored on their behalf.

Shopping malls in China are experiencing massive buying of gold jewellery and ingots as shoppers buy gold as a store of wealth in order to protect against surging food and energy inflation. Statistics from Beijing Caibai, Beijing's largest jewellry store, show sales of gold bars and jewellry have totaled an incredible 4 billion yuan or about $600 million US dollars so far this year, a 70-percent increase year-on-year.

Bernake states inflation is under control. I love the way Bernake makes up these figures. Hilarious it's like watching a comedy show. Bernake should come out next time in a clown suit so we can all laugh along with his jokes.    
Meanwhile the Chinese are advising that inflation is real and that people should buy Gold & Silver. They been advising their people to buy Gold & Silver for 12 months now.

Ways to Invest in Silver & Gold

You can buy Physical Metals and store them at home or in our secure storage facility.

You can open up an online investment account. ETrade would be my number one choice and trade your own account. 

You can spread bet Silver & Gold using marketspreads.ie. John McGlade has offered to run a free introductory class on Spread betting. If anyone is interested email me and I'll set it up. I spread bet some short term commodities. The returns I achieve are comparable to options trading and are tax free.   

Energy 
The Saudi stock market fell another 6% on Tuesday and 2 Saudi tanks were sent to quell protests in Bahrain. If unrest does spread to other Oil producing nations such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Angola & Venezuela. We will see a big spike in oil prices and big movement of money into Gold & Silver.  

"Iran's security forces have been deployed to the streets on Tuesday ahead of a planed opposition rally calling for lifting house arrests imposed on opposition leaders, an opposition website reported. "A large number of security forces have been stationed at main streets and some squares of Tehran since noon to prevent gathering of opposition supporters," said the Sahamnews website.

Green power now becomes a tangible investment. There are some excellent companies which will thrive in the high oil price environment. Our Energy fund which includes oil, natural gas, solar, wind & geothermal will be an excellent way to capitalize on this. Contact me for more info.    

Our oil investments are up over 100% in the last few weeks I know some of you who capitalized on this move too. Well done.   

Agriculture
DBA- Powershares DB Agriculture Fund is up 15% already this year and 50% since last July when I recommended buying agriculture.

Pensions 
I spoke to a number of people about their pensions in the last few weeks. 

If you do not know what your pension is invested in I suggest you have a good look, or we can take a look for you and outline the range of options available.   

There are some great commodity funds that you could have your pension in. There are also some great guaranteed return income yielding investments and bonds. 

Email or call for more info on:  

Happy investing,

Robert McManus
The Abundance Engineer
Email: rob@theabundanceengineer.com
Web: www.theabundanceengineer.com

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

The Abundance Engineer March 2011 - The Perfect Storm
















The perfect storm is brewing for Gold & Silver.

Bloomberg has reported that China central bank adviser Xia Bin urged the country to increase its gold and silver reserves.

Scotia Mocatta and the Perth mint have run out of 100 ounce bars due to overwhelming demand. 

The US Mint set an all-time record in January, delivering a stunning 6.472 million ounces of silver coins. 50% greater than any month in published history, going back 26 years. 


This spike in demand is also occurring during a month where the paper price fell considerably.

   
Take away Quantitative Easing and the stock market tanks.  Continue it and the dollar tanks.  It is not strong demand that is moving the stock market; it is an explosion of the money supply by the Fed.  Gold and silver are reacting to this as can be seen by the demand coming out of China, India, Russia and the Middle East. The Chinese are cutting back on US Treasuries and buying precious metals.  In spite of rising prices, India is buying record amounts of gold.  There is a stampede going on to get the physical metal.

QE will have to go on to Infinity. When the major buyers turn sellers, the Federal Reserve Bank becomes the only buyer for the debt. 

China and Russia sell US Treasuries - Michael McKenzie  
China has sold billions of dollars in US Treasury bills for the second month in a row, even as strong buying from other foreign investors countered Beijing's move to reduce its holdings.

Political Instability

The events in Tunisia and Egypt have violently uprooting the entire Arab world a world characterized by the presence of a guardian power, the United States, managing the imbalances in this region with only two concerns: to control the price of oil and ensure Israel's security.

In times of uncertainty like this Gold & Silver will look far more attractive to the protesters  than their governments banks and money.  
   
Everything is in place for a Gold & Silver rally. The fundamentals are all there. It all depends on how far the banks are prepared to go to keep the price of Silver from exploding past resistance at $30.91.   

Happy investing,

Robert McManus
The Abundance Engineer
Email: rob@theabundanceengineer.com
Web: www.theabundanceengineer.com